Not Another Predictions Column! Week EightWEEKLY UPSET GAME: Indianapolis 6-0 @ Carolina 4-2Dwight Freeney vs. Julius Peppers
Dallas Clark vs. Jeff King
Steve Smith vs. Marvin Harrison
DeAngelo Williams/DeShaun Foster vs. Joseph Addai/Kenton Keith
Bob Sanders vs. Chris Harris
Peyton Manning vs. Vinny Testaverde
One of the biggest matchups of Week Eight happens to be the undefeated Colts coming off a short week to travel to Carolina and take on the well-rested division-leading Carolina Panthers. Fresh off a timely bye, the Panthers are looking to knock off the defending world champions in order to set a tone for the rest of the season – namely, that despite being kicked whilst down, the Panthers will not roll over and play dead but rather rise to the occasion. There is nothing being mailed in this year from Carolina – and that is why they are sitting at 4-2 atop the NFC South. Above is a list of some of the key matchups in the game this week, listed in no particular order. Here follows a quick run-down of each:
A) Freeney v. PeppersAs alluded to in an article posted earlier this week by Eddie “Catzilla” Quinn, this game features two of the best defensive ends in the NFL. The consensus is that Peppers is the more well rounded end who can do anything whereas Freeney is a ferocious pass rusher who has one goal: GET TO THE QB. Both, though, are gamechangers and demand a double team on every play. Peppers was often termed as a sleeping giant early in the season because he was really not producing at all – rumors have abounded he was suffering from Mono – but in his past two games he has started to return to his Pro Bowl form. Look for him to continue to perform well this Sunday. Freeney is also on a hot streak – recording the first safety of his career last week against the Jaguars on Monday Night Football. Both are major headaches for defensive coordinators, and it will be interesting to see who has the better day. Right now I give Peppers the advantage merely because he is also a force in stopping the run.
B) Dallas Clark v. Jeff KingThe two featured tight ends in this game are Clark and King. Clark has been one of Peyton Manning’s favorite targets this season with the same number of touchdowns as Steve Smith, namely, six. King started the season doing very well under Jake Delhomme but has faded off a little bit with the quarterback struggles of the Panthers. However, he woke up under Testaverde against Arizona. All King does is make a play every time he touches the ball. Unfortunately, that is exactly what Clark does. Clark has the advantage over King.
C) Steve Smith vs. Marvin Harrison
Right now, I believe the advantage has to go to Smitty – Smitty is younger, with fresher legs, and Harrison is still a little slow from his injury. However, Harrison is one of the best receivers of all time and certainly a major threat any time he lines up. He is a crafty veteran receiver and he will do everything he can to beat the Panthers’ secondary. Nevertheless, he may not play as much this week to recover a bit more before the Colts-Pats matchup on November 4. UPDATE: Marvin Harrison will not play this week, but Reggie Wayne will be there, and Wayne is also an elite receiver. Smitty still has the advantage over Wayne, though.
D) Williams/Foster v. Addai/KeithThe Panthers’ two tailbacks have combined for nearly 700 yards rushing on the season and have propelled the Panthers to the NFL’s eighth best rushing attack. Conversely, the Colts’ two tailbacks have combined for 803 yards rushing. Kenton Keith has been a pleasant surprise for the Colts – but frankly, almost anyone should be able to put up good rushing statistics for the Colts simply due to the respect that has to be paid to the passing game. Joseph Addai, hampered by an injury, returned to action on Monday night vs. the Jaguars and did well in limited action. It was obvious he was still in a great deal of pain, though, as he pulled himself out of the game several times. Perhaps he, like Harrison, will not play the whole game against Carolina in order to rest up for the New England game. The advantage has to go to the Colts’ running game, though.
E) Bob Sanders v. Chris Harris
Two very good young safeties are playing in this game – Antoine Bethea is also deserving of a mention, but Bob Sanders is the heart and soul of the Indianapolis defense. On the other side, Chris Harris is a new face for the Panthers defense this season but he is doing quite well this season, being a defensive playmaker and making receivers alligator-arm passes across the middle of the field. Harris is quickly becoming a stalwart link in the Panthers’ chain, and Sanders proved last year that without him the Colts defense falls apart. Since Carolina’s defense circa 2007 has not been seen without Harris, no one knows if it would fall apart for sure, but considering he has been forcing fumbles left and right, and been a defensive leader, likely it would suffer a great loss. Due to Sanders’ injury history, I am going to have to declare the impact of both Harris and Sanders as even.
F) Manning vs. TestaverdeManning is in his prime – Testaverde? Apparently, he happens to still be in his prime as well. However, it is clear that Manning is the greater talent. Nevertheless, Testaverde is a wily, crafty veteran who has seen everything. Look for him to be solid in this game. As for Manning? He is 0-2 lifetime against Carolina, and though he is one of the best quarterbacks of all time, he will be 0-3 against the Cats all-time after Sunday. Panthers win the shocker.
Detroit 4-2 @ Chicago 3-4Well, Chicago found a quarterback for this season, apparently. Frankly, had they listened to me last year, they may have won the Super Bowl. Brian Griese has 1203 yards passing and 8 TDs – though he does have 6 INTs – and was the conductor of that incredible no-timeout 97-yard drive orchestrated by himself alone to defeat the floundering Philadelphia Eagles. They still do not have much of a rushing attack, and back-up Adrian Peterson is averaging almost 1.5 yards more per carry than Cedric Benson. How long before he starts to get more carries in their offense? Speaking of running backs, Detroit’s star tailback Kevin Jones played well last week with 15 carries for 76 yards and a touchdown. Drafted at #2 overall, Calvin Johnson, wide receiver from Georgia Tech, showed one of the reasons he was drafted that high by flashing his strength and speed on an end-around he took nearly 40 yards for a touchdown against the Buccaneers last week. I had been planning to take Chicago this week, but since the Lions took care of business last week and knocked off the Bucs for the Panthers as I requested, I will “keep the faith” as Jon Bon Jovi said and pick the Lions to win on the road.
Pittsburgh 4-2 @ Cincinnati 2-4The Bengals appear to be stuck on a downswing this season, no matter how hard Carson Palmer is trying. Palmer has passed for over 1700 yards and thrown 13 touchdown passes but he cannot carry the team solely by himself. It is clear that the Bengals just do not have a capable defense right now. Young cornerbacks Leon Hall and Jonathan Joseph need more time to develop, and their safeties have been suspect after allowing Kevin Kaesviharn to leave in the off-season. The Bengals’ linebackers have also suffered big time with the loss of Brian Simmons in the off-season and injury problems. The Bengals need defensive help so badly that it is rumored that after the season they will look to trade star wide receiver Chad Johnson for help. Conversely, their opponent, the Steelers, has a good defense and a well-balanced offensive attack. The Steelers put up a hard effort against the Broncos last Sunday night but unfortunately fell short when Broncos kicker Jason Elam hit a 49-yard game-winning field goal. Running back Willie Parker has 600 yards rushing but only one rushing touchdown. He averages an extremely respectable 4.2 yards a rush, but his back-up, former Packer Najeh Davenport, is averaging an astonishing 7.2 yards per carry on 30 carries and has three touchdowns. The Steelers’ offense overmatches the Bengals defense, and the Steelers defense is good enough to slow down the Bengals offense. Steelers win on the road this week, since they failed to do so last time around.
New York Giants 5-2 “@” Miami 0-7 (technically in London)So, there is a Miami, Florida; a Miami, Ohio; and now, apparently, a Miami, London. This is like Alexander the Great naming cities after himself. Of course, he actually was worth having that done. At any rate, this is not football related, and this column IS supposed to have something to do with football. Both teams are on streaks – the Giants have won five games straight, whereas the Dolphins, unfortunately, have lost seven straight to open the season. It just keeps getting worse for the Dolphins as Trent Green was placed on IR, starting safety Renaldo Hill was placed on IR, and phenomenal running back Ronnie Brown tore his ACL trying to run down Randall Gay after he intercepted Cleo Lemon. He is now on IR. Some part of me is now rooting for the Dolphins, hoping that they will overcome this adversity and win a few games this year. Really, I hope they win this week over the Giants, but there is no way I can justify picking them. Giants to win in London.
Philadelphia 2-4 @ Minnesota 2-4
Let me know when I tire out the IKEA joke – the non-IKEA employees managed to give up a 97-yard touchdown drive at the end of the game to the Bears when Griese had no timeouts and no radio link with the coaches on the sideline. This drive gave the Bears the go-ahead score, and the Bears won. Now the Eagles get to play a team with an extremely good rushing defense but a not-so-good passing defense, the Minnesota Vikings. Since the Eagles do not appear to have an effective passing attack, that happens to be an even match-up. The Eagles do have a strong running game, however, so it will be interesting to see what they do. Nonetheless, the Eagles’ defense will be hard-pressed to slow rookie running back Adrian Peterson down, and I am going with the Vikings to win a thriller this week.
Cleveland 3-3 @ St. Louis 0-7The surprising Browns had a bye last week and are now well-rested to travel to Missouri and play the hapless Rams. Derek Anderson has thrown 14 touchdowns in five starts and has nearly 1500 yards through the air. He has evenly divided roughly 1050 of those yards between Braylon Edwards and Kellen Winslow, but Winslow has only two touchdowns whilst Edwards has seven. Frankly, Derek Anderson deserves, shockingly, a Pro Bowl berth if the season were to end now. On the other side, the Rams’ much-vaunted offense has done next to nothing this season as the offensive line has dealt with injury issues, and both the quarterback position and running back position have seen injuries this season. Their defense has not been much to write home about either. Hopefully they will end up winning a couple of games down the road, but that will not happen this week. Browns win to improve to 4-3 and a possible share of the AFC North lead.
Oakland 2-4 @ Tennessee 4-2Well, I mentioned last week that kickers would prove to be a factor in the Tennessee – Houston game. I was right, as Rob Bironas set a record and kicked eight field goals for the Titans including the game-winner. Bironas’ leg must have been tired after the game, but whether or not he actually felt that is suspect. To be fair, Raiders’ kicker Sebastian Janikowski is doing well and leads the NFL in touchbacks with 16. That and Lamont Jordan’s resurgence are about the only bright spots for the Raiders right now. The Titans are finding ways to win – they have a stingy defense and a tough running game, and their passing game is improved with Kerry Collins under center, much as I hate to say it. The Raiders will have a hard time scoring this week, but I expect the Titans to find it easier. Titans win at home to improve to 5-2.
Buffalo 2-4 @ New York Jets 1-6
I have a quick fantasy football hint for my readers this week – start rookie tailback Marshawn Lynch. I smell a big day for him against the Jets’ poor rush defense. Kenny Watson rushed for 130 yards or so plus three touchdowns last week, and I expect the rookie Lynch to rush for at least 100 as well. Poor Chad Pennington – he plays his heart out for his team, but just cannot get them over the hump. He did his best last week, but interceptions killed him. Thomas Jones, though, has nearly 500 yards rushing on the season for the Jets, and Laveranues Coles has caught six touchdown passes. Rookie quarterback Trent Edwards out of Stanford is doing fairly well and continues to start in place of JP Losman. That smells like a quarterback controversy to me. No matter what one says about this game, at least the AFC East will get a win from someone other than New England, barring a rare tie. Look for the Jets to win at home and double their season win total.
Houston 3-4 @ San Diego 3-3What an almost-comeback by Houston last week as Sage Rosenfels and the Texans scored 29 points in the fourth quarter to end up falling short by two points due to a field goal off the leg of Rob Bironas. Houston is definitely putting up valiant fights this season but more often than not they are ending up on the short end of the stick. My prayers and condolences go out to all who have been affected by the wildfires in California. LaDainian Tomlinson is only four rushing touchdowns away from tying Walter Payton for third all-time in the NFL. Tomlinson is absolutely scintillating and easily one of my favorite players in the league. Quarterback Philip Rivers has struggled a little bit this season, but is still playing well with an 83.8 passer efficiency rating. This game should be a good, close game, but I expect to see a number of points scored this game. In point-scoring, the Chargers are better than the Texans. Charges win it at home to improve to 4-3 and drop the Texans to 3-5.
Jacksonville 4-2 @ Tampa Bay 4-3The Buccaneers were upset last week by the Detroit Lions, just as I predicted. Jeff Garcia still has not thrown an interception on the season and has chucked seven touchdown passes in seven games for the Bucs. With the addition of Michael Bennett via trade, Garcia should have more of a running game to lean on this week. However, the Jaguars have a very tough, opportunistic defense. That will be what keeps them in this game, and they will notch Garcia’s first interception this week. Disaster, though, struck the Jaguars last week as starting quarterback David Gararrard, who, incidentally, has also not thrown an interception yet, was injured and could miss up to a month. Back-up Quinn Gray is decent but not good enough to be as effective as Garrard. The Bucs also have a strong defense and they will be bringing the pain all day long against Gray. Gray is much more prone to mistakes then Jeff Garcia, however, and that is why the Jaguars will lose this week.
Washington 4-2 @ New England 7-0What can I say about the Patriots that has not already been said this week? They are good, and they know it. They will not stop until they lose the Super Bowl to Carolina this year, either. Since everyone knows about the Patriots, I shall talk about the Redskins right now. Wide receiver Antwaan Randel El has more receiving yards than Clinton Portis has rushing yards. The Redskins pass defense has been amazing this year, holding opposing quarterbacks to an average passer rating of 67.7. Their secondary consists of four former first round picks, and safeties Sean Taylor and Laron Landry are having amazing seasons. Taylor leads the NFL in interceptions with five. However, the Redskins’ defensive backs have not faced a group of receivers with as much talent this year as they will this week. It should be an interesting match-up, to say the least. The Redskins’ offense is capable of putting up points, but it is not an overpowering offense, relying too much on the big play. Expect the Redskins to hang tough with New England for awhile, perhaps even into the early fourth, but in the end, the Redskins’ offense is not good enough to stay even with the Patriots when it comes down to scoring points. I will say one thing, though. Tom Brady might not have as much luck throwing into double coverage this week as he did against Miami. Patriots win it, though, to go 8-0.
New Orleans 2-4 @ San Francisco 2-4As far as I know, 49ers quarterback Alex Smith is expected to return to action this week. That will be something of an improvement over Trent Dilfer. Whomever starts at quarterback for the 49ers should be able to have a good day passing as the Saints’ pass defense is not very good at all. This is a game that should be a shootout, as neither team has a defense that is all that. Rookie linebacker Patrick Willis for the 49ers is making a good case for the Defensive Rookie of the Year award, and he looks forward to introducing himself to sensational running back Reggie Bush in this game, surely. In a shoot-out, which is what I think this will be, the Saints ought to win. However, I have a hunch that the 49ers may win this game. That hunch is not enough for me to pick them, though. Saints win it.
Monday Night Football: Green Bay 5-1 @ Denver 3-3
I had been looking forward to watching this game all week. I was under the impression that it was the Sunday Night Football game. Then I realized that there was no Sunday Night game this week. So then I thought I’d enjoy watching Monday Night Football with Pat Sumerall and John Madden. THEN I realized I had football practice Monay night, so I figured I would tape it and enjoy the game on Tuesday night. Then, I remembered something. Monday Night Football no longer has Sumerall and Madden, it is no longer on ABC, it is on ESPN, I do not have cable/satellite, so I cannot watch ESPN, so I cannot tape this game and play it back later. Due to being annoyed with this, I do not feel like discoursing upon this game aside from saying the following: Brett Favre kicks rear, and he will find a way to win this week. Thanks for reading!
Last week I went 11-3 and am now 66-37 on the season.
By Robert “RingLeader” Gilbert
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